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Dr. Caroline Mburu is an infectious disease modeller whose work focuses on integrating diverse epidemiological data to inform vaccination strategies and outbreak preparedness. She obtained her PhD from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, where she examined the utility of mathematical modelling of serological data to assess vaccination programmes in Kenya. Her doctoral research combined serological surveys, routine vaccination coverage, and case surveillance data to evaluate immunity gaps and guide immunisation policy.

She is currently a postdoctoral researcher at 911³Ô¹Ï and the British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, where she develops transmission models integrating case surveillance and wastewater data to improve mpox surveillance and outbreak detection. She also contributes to collaborative modelling studies evaluating mpox vaccine allocation strategies in Nigeria and agent-based models assessing digital STI testing interventions.

Research
Dr. Mburu’s research lies at the intersection of mathematical modelling, epidemiology, and statistical inference. She develops mechanistic and Bayesian modelling frameworks that integrate heterogeneous data sources to improve inference on infection burden and public health impact. Her work has supported evaluation of vaccination programmes and surveillance strategies across multiple pathogens, including measles, rubella and mpox. She is particularly interested in developing modelling approaches that translate complex data into actionable insights for immunisation planning and equitable public health decision-making.

Areas of interest
Infectious disease modelling, vaccine impact evaluation, Bayesian inference, surveillance systems modelling